ai @ wvu
Modeling Intelligence Lab ("the MILL")
Monday, October 1, 2012
signal and the noise
The Signal and the Noise:
Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
by Nate Silver
Chapter 2: foxes and hedgehogs
Hedgehogs dig in- say one thing, only, all the time. Do best on the talk show circuit.
Foxes, sniff around. Craftier. Do best at prediction.
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